Only one horse since Secretariat in 1973 has won the Kentucky Derby with a time faster than two minutes. Part of the cause in recent years has had to do with track conditions, as seven Kentucky Derby runs since 2004 have gone off with wet, sloppy Churchill Downs track conditions. This year’s 2022 Kentucky Derby contenders have posted impressive times in previous races in the run-up to the 148th Run for the Roses, but rain is in the 2022 Kentucky Derby weather forecast for Friday night. The 2022 Kentucky Derby odds feature impressive thoroughbreds like Zandon (3-1), Messier (8-1), and Mo Donegal (10-1). Taiba (12-1) and Epicenter (7-2) have posted Beyer Speed Figures of 102 in their most recent races to lead all 2022 Kentucky Derby horses. Post time is 6:57 p.m. ET. With so much to consider while making your 2022 Kentucky Derby picks, a little expert help can go a long way.
The only horse to win a Kentucky Derby in under two minutes since Secretariat was Monarchos, in 2001. The gray colt finished just under the two-minute threshold at 1:59.97 and was jockeyed by Jorge Chavez, who also rode him to a third-place finish at the 2001 Belmont Stakes. Since Manarchos, the only other gray colt to win the Kentucky Derby was Giacomo in 2005. Giacomo clocked a time of 2:02.75, but the closest another horse has come to clearing two minutes following Monarchos’ win was Authentic, who finished with a winning time of 2:00.61 in 2020. White Abarrio is the most heavily discussed gray colt in the 2022 Kentucky Derby field and holds 10-1 odds.
Given all the history, there’s a method to picking which horses to focus on for exacta, trifecta and superfecta bets in a Kentucky Derby like this, and SportsLine expert Jody Demling knows what it is. He can help you make the best 2022 Kentucky Derby picks possible.
A fixture in the horse racing world who has been writing about, talking about and betting on races for years, Demling has been on-point with his horse racing bets. He hit the exacta in the Wood Memorial in April. Last year, he hit the exacta, trifecta and superfecta in the Belmont Stakes. This is the same handicapper who hit the Derby-Oaks double at Churchill Downs nine times in the last 13 years. That means he held a ticket with the winners of both the Kentucky Oaks and Kentucky Derby all but four times in his last 13 tries.
In addition, at one point in 2020, he picked the winners of six straight races: the Saudi Cup, Gotham Stakes, Rebel Stakes, Louisiana Derby, Florida Derby and Belmont Stakes. Anyone who has followed him on these races is way up. Now, he’s sharing all of his 2022 Kentucky Derby bets here.
Top 2022 Kentucky Derby expert picks
Here’s a refresher on these types of bets from SportsLine’s Jody Demling:
Kentucky Derby Exacta: Pick the first- and second-place finishers in the correct order. A $2 exacta returned $503 at the 2021 Kentucky Derby with Medina Spirit and Mandaloun.
Kentucky Derby Trifecta: Pick the first-, second- and third-place finishers in the correct order. A $1 trifecta returned $1,696.90 at the 2021 Kentucky Derby with Medina Spirit, Mandaloun, and Hot Rod Charlie.
Kentucky Derby Superfecta: Pick the first-, second-, third- and fourth-place finishers in the correct order. A $1 superfecta returned a colossal $9,456.40 at the 2021 Kentucky Derby with Medina Spirit, Mandaloun, Hot Rod Charlie, and Essential Quality.
While Demling has no quibbles with the favorite status of Zandon (3-1), he plans to hold tickets with Messier (8-1), Epicenter (7-2), as well as four double-digit underdogs who could really spice up the payouts. You can see his picks here.
How to make 2022 Kentucky Derby bets
Demling has specific recommendations for exacta, trifecta and superfecta wagers so you can cover all your bases at the Kentucky Derby 2022. He’s sharing them over at SportsLine.
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